Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 5.023231 5.794957 6.644431 7.648730 8.803647 10.090259 11.632608
2024-12-15 4.112757 5.159571 6.409469 8.011447 10.010455 12.423408 15.559207
2024-12-22 3.296790 4.451867 5.932987 7.970615 10.701741 14.237964 19.169658
2024-12-29 2.908183 4.195229 5.954508 8.533371 12.218433 17.298569 24.844879
2025-01-05 2.548395 3.903606 5.866749 8.915089 13.531330 20.267076 30.861151
2025-01-12 2.186535 3.538878 5.604889 8.986875 14.387888 22.688922 36.445343
2025-01-19 1.792324 3.052693 5.075403 8.552375 14.384846 23.789834 40.146849
2025-01-26 1.629995 2.910126 5.060069 8.926228 15.712155 27.149273 47.945110
2025-02-02 1.535300 2.864176 5.192544 9.559273 17.554113 31.594637 58.202635
2025-02-09 1.392168 2.707223 5.105375 9.785003 18.700586 34.977195 67.049415
2025-02-16 1.256550 2.541459 4.975013 9.905402 19.659026 38.130226 75.893028
2025-02-23 1.096006 2.301560 4.668815 9.639889 19.833497 39.824223 82.154669
2025-03-02 0.940244 2.051475 4.315298 9.245877 19.732713 41.042292 87.806420
2025-03-09 0.859544 1.945701 4.238108 9.409209 20.800498 44.751044 99.144277
2025-03-16 0.756713 1.775418 4.000748 9.194845 21.034046 46.765190 107.182130
2025-03-23 0.725198 1.760633 4.097957 9.733894 23.004772 52.772210 124.919068
2025-03-30 0.683130 1.714418 4.117644 10.098239 24.631475 58.242197 142.245328
2025-04-06 0.624123 1.617771 4.006159 10.135297 25.493370 62.083557 156.307183
2025-04-13 0.540174 1.445288 3.688028 9.619519 24.936030 62.505974 162.127083
2025-04-20 0.515539 1.421645 3.732718 10.022703 26.735907 68.882498 183.791532
2025-04-27 0.506719 1.438638 3.882807 10.721615 29.400985 77.779524 213.263551
2025-05-04 0.476933 1.393441 3.864044 10.967376 30.901941 83.902146 236.288886
2025-05-11 0.444919 1.336816 3.806353 11.097665 32.107870 89.414160 258.467997